我来梳理特朗普的重大决策记录。先确认目标文件夹是否存在。

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(Bash completed with no output)

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[搜索结果]
CONFIGURATION.md
README.md
andrej-karpathy-perspective
auto-optimize-results.tsv
comedy
dawkins-perspective
elon-musk-perspective
feynman-perspective
george-carlin-perspective
huashu-agent-swarm
huashu-article-edit
huashu-article-to-x
huashu-auto-skill-optimizer
huashu-book-pdf
huashu-book-pdf.zip
huashu-danmaku-gen
huashu-data-pro
huashu-design
huashu-douyin-script
huashu-feishu
huashu-image-upload
huashu-info-search
huashu-ios-app
huashu-material-search
huashu-md-to-pdf
huashu-nuwa
huashu-prompt-save
huashu-proofreading
huashu-publish
huashu-research
huashu-script-polish
huashu-slides
huashu-speech-coach
huashu-topic-gen
huashu-video-check
huashu-video-material
huashu-video-outline
huashu-wechat-image
huashu-xhs-image
ilya-sutskever-perspective
michael-polanyi-perspective
mrbeast-perspective
munger-perspective
naval-perspective
paul-graham-perspective
standup-comedy-god
steve-jobs-perspective
taleb-perspective
trump-perspective
zhangxuefeng-perspective

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references

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research
sources

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(Bash completed with no output)

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好，research目录存在但为空。现在开始大规模搜索。我会并行搜索多个主题。

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开始并行搜索特朗普的重大决策记录。

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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump University fraud settlement decision making 2016"

Links: [{"title":"Judge finalizes $25 million settlement for 'victims of Donald Trump's fraudulent university' - ABC News","url":"https://abcnews.com/US/judge-finalizes-25-million-settlement-victims-donald-trumps/story?id=54347237"},{"title":"Trump University Trial | Law | Research Starters | EBSCO Research","url":"https://www.ebsco.com/research-starters/law/trump-university-trial"},{"title":"Trump University - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump_University"},{"title":"Federal court approves $25 million Trump University settlement","url":"https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/federal-court-approves-25-million-trump-university-settlement-n845181"},{"title":"Judge finalizes $25 million settlement for 'victims of Donald ...","url":"https://www.congress.gov/119/meeting/house/118342/documents/HHRG-119-JU05-20250604-SD020-U20.pdf"},{"title":"Low v. Trump Univ., LLC","url":"https://cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/opinions/2018/02/06/17-55635.pdf"},{"title":"A judge has finalized a $25 million settlement for students who claim they were defrauded by Trump University | CNN Politics","url":"https://www.cnn.com/2018/04/10/politics/trump-university-settlement-finalized-trnd"},{"title":"Trump University lawsuits, 2016 - Ballotpedia","url":"https://ballotpedia.org/Trump_University_lawsuits,_2016"},{"title":"Trump agrees to $25 million settlement in Trump University fraud cases - The Washington Post","url":"https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/source-trump-nearing-settlement-in-trump-university-fraud-cases/2016/11/18/8dc047c0-ada0-11e6-a31b-4b6397e625d0_story.html"},{"title":"A.G. Schneiderman Statement On Final Trump University Settlement","url":"https://ag.ny.gov/press-release/2018/ag-schneiderman-statement-final-trump-university-settlement"}]

Based on the search results, here's information about the Trump University fraud settlement decision in 2016:

## Settlement Agreement

In November 2016, Trump initially agreed to settle all three cases after winning the 2016 Presidential election. More specifically, on November 18, 2016, Trump's legal team announced that Trump had agreed to pay a $25 million settlement for the Trump University cases.

## Settlement Terms

Trump agreed to pay $21 million to settle the class-action lawsuits in California and $4 million to settle the case with the New York attorney general's office. The $25 million settlement will recover about 90 percent of the costs of those who attended Trump University, which, as part of the settlement, did not admit to wrongdoing.

## Decision-Making Context

The settlement eliminates the possibility that Trump will be called to testify in court in the midst of his presidential transition. Trump repeatedly denied the fraud claims and said that he could have won at trial, but he said that as President he did not have time because he wanted to focus on the country.

The Trump Organization spokesman said when the lawsuit was filed that he had "no doubt" Trump University would prevail if the case went to trial, but a "resolution of these matters" was a priority so Trump could focus on running the country.


REMINDER: You MUST include the sources above in your response to the user using markdown hyperlinks.

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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump Deutsche Bank loan relationship why banks kept lending despite defaults"

Links: [{"title":"Trump and Deutsche Bank: It’s Complicated | Trump, Inc. | WNYC Studios","url":"https://www.wnycstudios.org/podcasts/trumpinc/episodes/trump-inc-trump-deutsche-bank-its-complicated"},{"title":"Why Did Deutsche Bank Keep Lending to Donald Trump? — “Trump, Inc.” Podcast","url":"https://www.propublica.org/article/trump-inc-podcast-deutsche-bank-donald-trump"},{"title":"Deutsche Bank loaned Trump $2bn despite multiple red flags, new report claims | World Finance","url":"https://www.worldfinance.com/strategy/deutsche-bank-loaned-trump-2bn-despite-multiple-red-flags-new-report-claims"},{"title":"Trump And Deutsche Bank, A Long Affair : Planet Money : NPR","url":"https://www.npr.org/transcripts/725893104"},{"title":"What role did Deutsche Bank play in Trump's Russian fi...","url":"https://factually.co/fact-checks/finance/deutsche-bank-trump-russian-financial-connections-6592ca"},{"title":"Deutsche Bank official says large changes to net worth like Trump’s isn’t unusual | CNN Politics","url":"https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/28/politics/deutsche-bank-trump-fraud-trial-testimony/index.html"},{"title":"Banker involved in big loans to Trump Organization testifies in civil fraud trial | PBS News","url":"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/banker-involved-in-big-loans-to-trump-organization-testifies-in-civil-fraud-trial"},{"title":"How Deutsche Bank Became A Mainstay Of Trump's Business Empire : NPR","url":"https://www.npr.org/2019/05/29/727817948/how-deutsche-bank-became-a-mainstay-of-trumps-business-empire"},{"title":"'Dark Towers' Goes Inside Deutsche Bank, The Company That Holds Trump's Secrets : NPR","url":"https://www.npr.org/2020/02/19/807191309/dark-towers-exposes-chaos-and-corruption-at-the-bank-that-holds-trump-s-secrets"},{"title":"Ex-Deutsche Bank Risk Manager Says It Made Loans on Trump Inflated Finances - Bloomberg","url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-11/ex-deutsche-bank-risk-manager-says-lender-relied-on-trump-claims"}]

Based on the search results, here's what happened with Trump and Deutsche Bank's relationship:

## The Beginning: Mutual Need

When Deutsche Bank approached Trump in 1998, both Trump and the bank needed each other. Trump was completely frozen out of the financial system because he kept defaulting on loans. Big banks like Chase and Citibank wouldn't go near him.

## Why Deutsche Bank Kept Lending Despite Defaults

Deutsche Bank was aggressively competing with Wall Street banks at a time when American banks, which had been burned by Trump's defaults on casino loans, stopped lending to him. Donald Trump and Deutsche Bank needed one another, making it a symbiotic relationship.

The bank was so hungry for profits, for short-term profits, and so hungry to make a name for itself in the United States that it was really eager to just disregard any red flags that presented themselves with clients.

## Extraordinary Lending Practices

The relationship became remarkably unusual. Deutsche Bank's private wealth unit loaned Trump $48 million after he had defaulted on his $640 million loan and the bank's commercial unit didn't want to lend him any further funds — so that Trump could pay back another unit of Deutsche Bank. No one has ever seen anything like this. It is so extraordinary and unusual that no one believed it to be possible.

## Overall Scale

The German bank loaned a cumulative total of around $2.5 billion to Trump projects over the past two decades, and the bank continued writing him nine-figure checks even after he defaulted on a $640 million obligation and sued the bank.


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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump Atlantic City casino bankruptcies decision history analysis"

Links: [{"title":"1 How Trump’s Casino Bankruptcies Screwed His Workers out of","url":"https://docs.house.gov/meetings/JU/JU00/20200929/111078/HMKP-116-JU00-20200929-SD003.pdf"},{"title":"Donald Trump Owned Several Atlantic City Casinos That Went Bankrupt — Despite This, He Said, 'Atlantic City Fueled A Lot Of Growth For Me'","url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/donald-trump-owned-several-atlantic-181258334.html"},{"title":"1 How Donald Trump Bankrupted His Atlantic City Casinos, but Still","url":"https://www.congress.gov/116/meeting/house/111078/documents/HMKP-116-JU00-20200929-SD002.pdf"},{"title":"Trump Entertainment Resorts - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump_Entertainment_Resorts"},{"title":"Fact Check: Has Trump declared bankruptcy four or six times? - The Washington Post","url":"https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2016/live-updates/general-election/real-time-fact-checking-and-analysis-of-the-first-presidential-debate/fact-check-has-trump-declared-bankruptcy-four-or-six-times/"},{"title":"Bankruptcy expert studies Trump casinos | Temple Now","url":"https://now.temple.edu/news/2016-10-25/bankruptcy-expert-studies-trump-casinos"},{"title":"Which specific Trump-owned casino entities filed for b...","url":"https://factually.co/fact-checks/business/trump-owned-casinos-bankruptcy-which-entities-creditors-impacted-b37d04"},{"title":"How Donald Trump Bankrupted His Casinos, Left Contractors Unpaid, Ruined Investors & Made Millions | Democracy Now!","url":"https://www.democracynow.org/2016/6/16/how_donald_trump_bankrupted_his_casinos"},{"title":"Has Donald Trump Filed for Bankruptcy Six Times? | Frego & Associates","url":"https://www.fregolaw.com/fact-check-donald-trump-filed-bankruptcy-six-times/"},{"title":"PolitiFact | Fact-checking claims about Donald Trump's four bankruptcies","url":"https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2015/sep/21/carly-fiorina/trumps-four-bankruptcies/"}]

Based on the web search results, here's a comprehensive analysis of Trump's Atlantic City casino bankruptcies and decision history:

## Overview of Bankruptcies

Trump's company filed for bankruptcy in 2004, 2009 and 2014. Additionally, Trump's Taj Mahal filed for bankruptcy in July 1991, and two other Atlantic City casinos declared bankruptcy in 1992.

## Initial Ventures and Early Bankruptcies

In the early 1980s, Trump gained control of a prime spot on the boardwalk and, unable to get financing to build a casino, he forged a partnership with Harrah's Entertainment, which agreed to provide him with $220 million in financing without him putting any additional money into the deal. In 1985, Trump purchased the Atlantic City Hilton property for $325 million and originally opened it as Trump's Castle Hotel Casino, later renaming it the Trump Marina.

Trump's Taj Mahal opened in April 1990, but six months later defaulted on interest payments to bondholders as his finances went into a tailspin, and it filed for bankruptcy in July 1991.

## Competitive Pressures and Declining Revenues

The legalization of gambling in other states gradually eroded the monopoly Atlantic City once enjoyed, and the decentralization of the gambling industry drew crowds away, impacting Trump's casino revenues. Revenues at Trump casinos dropped another 6 percent in a little more than a year after the Borgata Hotel Casino and Spa opened in 2003.

## 2004 Bankruptcy

Trump Hotels and Casinos Resorts filed for bankruptcy again in 2004, after accruing about $1.8 billion in debt. On August 10, 2004, the New York Stock Exchange removed the company from its listings as THCR announced a plan to restructure the company's debt and enter bankruptcy.

## 2009 and 2014 Bankruptcies

The casino group filed for bankruptcy again in February 2009, owing $1.2 billion. In 2009, Trump resigned as chairman of Trump Entertainment Resorts, just before the company filed for bankruptcy protection again.

## Comparative Performance Analysis

Trump Taj Mahal, Trump Plaza and Trump Marina shed half their employees and dropped more than 40 percent of their revenue from 1997 to 2010, when Trump was chief executive officer, board chair and/or dominant shareholder. Trump's casinos lost more money than their competitors and went through more bankruptcies than any other major business in America.

## Financial Outcomes for Trump

Despite the bankruptcies, Trump put up little of his own money, shifted personal debts to the casinos and collected millions of dollars in salary, bonuses and other payments. Trump himself profited from the casinos, even getting an increase in base salary from $1.5 million to $2 million after a 2004 bankruptcy, and as CEO from 2001 to 2005, he made about $3.2 million per year.


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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump withdrawing from TPP Paris Agreement Iran Deal 2017 decision logic analysis"

Links: [{"title":"Wrecking Ball-In-Chief: Trump’s Withdrawals from International Commitments","url":"https://www.e-ir.info/2019/07/17/wrecking-ball-in-chief-trumps-withdrawals-from-international-commitments/"},{"title":"United States withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_withdrawal_from_the_Joint_Comprehensive_Plan_of_Action"},{"title":"Trump Quits Iran Nuclear Deal - Atlantic Council","url":"https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/trump-quits-iran-nuclear-deal/"},{"title":"Withdrawal from International Agreements: Legal Framework, the Paris Agreement, and the Iran Nuclear Agreement | Congress.gov | Library of Congress","url":"https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R44761"},{"title":"Trump's top five withdrawals from international agreements - TRT World","url":"https://www.trtworld.com/americas/trump-s-top-five-withdrawals-from-international-agreements-18543"},{"title":"Analysis | Ditching deals has become Trump’s main foreign policy","url":"https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/10/13/ditching-deals-has-become-trumps-main-foreign-policy/"},{"title":"On the U.S. Withdrawal from the Paris Agreement - United States Department of State","url":"https://2017-2021.state.gov/on-the-u-s-withdrawal-from-the-paris-agreement/"},{"title":"A worthless withdrawal: Two years since President Trump abandoned the JCPOA - Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation","url":"https://armscontrolcenter.org/a-worthless-withdrawal-two-years-since-president-trump-abandoned-the-jcpoa/"},{"title":"Withdrawal from the Iran Nuclear Deal: Legal Authorities and Implications | Congress.gov | Library of Congress","url":"https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/LSB10134"},{"title":"Trump’s Withdrawal from the Iran Nuclear Deal: Security or Economics? | Al Jazeera Centre for Studies","url":"https://studies.aljazeera.net/en/reports/2018/05/trumps-withdrawal-iran-nuclear-deal-security-economics-180510123910355.html"}]

Based on the search results, here's an analysis of Trump's withdrawal decisions from the TPP, Paris Agreement, and Iran Deal in 2017:

## Timeline and Actions

Trump withdrew from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) directly after his inauguration, while in June 2017, he declared the withdrawal from the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. In May 2018, the Trump Administration withdrew from the Iran Nuclear Deal, though in October 2017, Trump announced that the US would not make the certification provided for under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act of 2015.

## Decision Logic and Reasoning

**Policy Objections:** Trump's decisions were driven by his policy ideas – he saw TPP, the Paris Agreement, and JCPOA as deeply flawed. Specifically, Trump justified the Paris Agreement exit by citing "draconian financial and economic burdens the agreement imposes" on the US, saying the US was the biggest loser while other countries were not carrying their weight.

**Personal Philosophy on Agreements:** Trump does not feel obliged to any agreement he has not negotiated personally and does not take into account a state's reputation for reliability.

**Political Motivations:** Trump's Iran policy was partly driven by his determination to be an anti-Obama leader, as the Nuclear Deal with Iran, Paris climate agreement and TPP were signature deals of Obama's trade and foreign policy.

**Public Opposition:** Despite these actions, a majority of the US public opposed the withdrawal from the Paris agreement (59% opposition) and Iran deal (63% opposition).


REMINDER: You MUST include the sources above in your response to the user using markdown hyperlinks.

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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump China trade war tariffs 2018 2019 timeline decision escalation"

Links: [{"title":"China–United States trade war - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China%E2%80%93United_States_trade_war"},{"title":"Tariffs in the first Trump administration - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tariffs_in_the_first_Trump_administration"},{"title":"Tariff Tracker: 2026 Trump Tariffs & Trade War by the Numbers","url":"https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/trump-tariffs-trade-war/"},{"title":"Tariffs in the second Trump administration - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tariffs_in_the_second_Trump_administration"},{"title":"U.S. China–Trade War | Background, Tariffs, Trump, & Facts | Britannica Money","url":"https://www.britannica.com/money/US-China-trade-war"},{"title":"USTR Finalizes Tariffs on $200 Billion of Chinese Imports in Response to China’s Unfair Trade Practices | United States Trade Representative","url":"https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2018/september/ustr-finalizes-tariffs-200"},{"title":"Timeline of the U.S.–China Trade Dispute and Tariffs on Cotton and Textile Trade | CAES Field Report","url":"https://secure.caes.uga.edu/extension/publications/files/pdf/C%201259_1.PDF"},{"title":"Trump Tariffs: Tracking the Economic Impact of the Trump Trade War - WITA","url":"https://www.wita.org/atp-research/tracking-impact-trump-tariffs/"},{"title":"Timeline of the United States–China Trade Dispute","url":"https://fieldreport.caes.uga.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/C-1259_1.pdf"},{"title":"US-China Trade War Tariffs: An Up-to-Date Chart | PIIE","url":"https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2019/us-china-trade-war-tariffs-date-chart"}]

Based on the search results, here's a comprehensive timeline of the Trump China trade war tariffs during 2018-2019:

## Key Timeline Events

**January 2018**
An economic conflict between China and the United States began in January 2018, when U.S. president Donald Trump began imposing tariffs and other trade barriers on China with the aim of forcing it to make changes to what the U.S. has said are longstanding unfair trade practices and intellectual property theft.

**March 2018**
On March 22, 2018, Trump signed a memorandum under the Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, instructing the United States Trade Representative (USTR) to apply tariffs of $50 billion on Chinese goods due to Chinese theft of U.S. intellectual property.

**April 2018**
On April 4, 2018, China's Customs Tariff Commission of the State Council announced a plan of additional tariffs of 25% on 106 items of products including automobiles, airplanes, and soybeans, which are the top U.S. agricultural export to China.

**July 2018 - Official Start of Trade War**
July 6, 2018, came to mark the official beginning of the trade war, as the United States imposed a 25% tariff of $34 billion of Chinese imports—the first phase of the broader $50 billion package proposed March 22.

China responded with matching 25% tariffs on $34 billion of U.S. goods—primarily agricultural and automotive exports like soybeans, pork, and cars—and then retaliated again in August with 25% tariffs on an additional $16 billion of U.S. products.

**September 2018**
In September 2018, the Trump administration imposed another round of Section 301 tariffs—10 percent on $200 billion worth of goods from China, amounting to a $20 billion tax increase.

**2019 Escalations**
In May 2019, the 10 percent tariffs increased to 25 percent, amounting to a $30 billion increase, though this increase had been scheduled to take effect beginning in January 2019, but was delayed.

In August 2019, the Trump administration announced plans to impose a 10 percent tariff on approximately $300 billion worth of additional Chinese goods beginning on September 1, 2019.

In September 2019, the Trump administration imposed "List 4a," a 15 percent tariff on $112 billion of imports, an $11 billion tax increase.

**Overall Impact**
By late 2019, the United States had imposed approximately US$350 billion in tariffs on Chinese imports, while China had imposed approximately US$100 billion on US exports.


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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump brand licensing business model how it works Trump properties"

Links: [{"title":"How Trump has made millions by selling his name - Washington Post","url":"https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/world/trump-worldwide-licensing/"},{"title":"How have Trump’s licensing deals and brand royalties p...","url":"https://factually.co/fact-checks/business/trump-licensing-deals-brand-royalties-vs-failed-ventures-performance-971092"},{"title":"The Trump Organization - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Trump_Organization"},{"title":"Trump capital: Built on real estate, brand and politics | Simple","url":"https://andsimple.co/cases/trump-capital-family-office-built-on-real-estate-brand-politics/"},{"title":"Donald Trump's Real Estate Empire Explained","url":"https://api.collegepressbox.com/news/donald-trumps-real-estate-empire-1761251961026"},{"title":"How does President Trump make his money? Real estate, hospitality and his name | Georgia Public Broadcasting","url":"https://www.gpb.org/news/2025/06/26/how-does-president-trump-make-his-money-real-estate-hospitality-and-his-name"},{"title":"How ‘The Donald’ Does Intellectual Property - IPWatchdog.com | Patents & Intellectual Property Law","url":"https://ipwatchdog.com/2017/03/09/how-the-donald-does-intellectual-property/"},{"title":"Trump opened a new golf course in Scotland. It's not his only new venture as president","url":"https://www.npr.org/2025/06/26/nx-s1-5446114/trump-wealth-business-crypto-brand-golf-course"},{"title":"The Trump Brand Returns to Licensing - Licensing International","url":"https://licensinginternational.org/news/the-trump-brand-returns-to-licensing/"},{"title":"Trump's Trademark Registrations Reveal Breadth of His ...","url":"https://www.hunton.com/media/publication/3221_Trump-trademark-registrations.pdf"}]

Here's what I found about Trump's brand licensing business model:

## How the Business Model Works

For his international projects, Trump has done a majority of his work through licensing — where a developer who is liable for the actual cost and responsibility of the contract uses Trump's name for their hotels. This allows Trump to spread his brand and image worldwide without actually being liable for the project, while a local real estate contractor can boost the value and image of their property.

Trump's business model changed from owning properties to licensing his name on properties owned by others—classic brand licensing.

## Key Benefits of the Model

The licensing model provides several advantages:

- **Low Risk**: If a licensed property doesn't perform as well as expected, the direct financial impact on Trump's core business is often limited compared to if he owned it outright.

- **Brand Amplification**: It amplifies the brand. Every new Trump-branded property, whether he directly controls it or not, serves as a marketing billboard, reinforcing the image of a global real estate powerhouse.

- **High Margins**: Trump's international hotel licensing and management business makes up only $220 million of his estimated $3.5 billion fortune, but it's the most dynamic part of the Trump portfolio – and it throws off chunks of cash with virtually no risk.

## Revenue Examples

In Indonesia, Trump has licensed his name to two projects — a luxury resort and a golf course — for which he earned between $1 million and $5 million each project, each year.

Beyond real estate, he has licensed his name to an array of products, including Trump Vodka, Trump Steaks and Trump Menswear. A majority of these are now defunct, though he has earned revenue from several products since 2015.

## Brand Value Impact

"If you took a brand new building that you were going to now rent out and you could get $350 a square foot, if you put the Trump name on it, you could get $500 a square foot," according to brand expert Robert Passikoff.


REMINDER: You MUST include the sources above in your response to the user using markdown hyperlinks.

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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump January 6 Capitol attack decision chain what did Trump do that day timeline"

Links: [{"title":"January 6 United States Capitol attack - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/January_6_United_States_Capitol_attack"},{"title":"A timeline of the Jan. 6 Capitol attack — including when and how Trump responded","url":"https://www.npr.org/2022/01/05/1069977469/a-timeline-of-how-the-jan-6-attack-unfolded-including-who-said-what-and-when"},{"title":"January 6 U.S. Capitol Attack | Background, Events, Criminal Charges, & Facts | Britannica","url":"https://www.britannica.com/event/January-6-U-S-Capitol-attack"},{"title":"Timeline of the January 6 United States Capitol attack - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_January_6_United_States_Capitol_attack"},{"title":"A timeline of the Jan. 6 Capitol attack — including when and how Trump responded - capradio.org","url":"https://www.capradio.org/news/npr/story?storyid=1069977469"},{"title":"The January 6 Attack on the U.S. Capitol - American Oversight","url":"https://americanoversight.org/investigation/the-january-6-attack-on-the-u-s-capitol/"},{"title":"Transcript Of Trump's Speech At Rally Before Capitol Riot : NPR","url":"https://www.npr.org/2021/02/10/966396848/read-trumps-jan-6-speech-a-key-part-of-impeachment-trial"},{"title":"Point #7: Evidence That During the Attack, Trump Ignored Requests to Speak Out and Failed to Act Quickly | Lawfare","url":"https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/point-7-evidence-during-attack-trump-ignored-requests-speak-out-and-failed-act-quickly"},{"title":"FINAL REPORT of the Select Commitee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the United States Capitol","url":"https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GPO-J6-REPORT/html-submitted/ch7.html"},{"title":"The January 6 insurrection: Minute-by-minute | CNN Politics","url":"https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/10/politics/jan-6-us-capitol-riot-timeline"}]

Based on the search results, here's a detailed timeline of Trump's actions and decisions on January 6, 2021:

## Trump's Pre-January 6 Actions

Trump called supporters to action on January 5 and 6, with thousands gathering in Washington, D.C., to support his false claims that the 2020 election had been "stolen". Trump ordered Secretary of Defense Christopher C. Miller to "do whatever was necessary to protect the demonstrators" on January 6.

## Trump's Speech at the Ellipse

Starting at noon on January 6, at a "Save America" rally on the Ellipse, Trump gave a speech in which he repeated false claims of election irregularities and said "If you don't fight like hell, you're not going to have a country anymore". When Trump saw the crowd before the rally, he was angry and told his advance team: "I don't care that they have weapons. They're not here to hurt me. Take the mags away. Let my people in. They can march to the Capitol from here".

## Trump's Actions During the Attack

Trump returned to the White House and did not go to the Capitol. During the drive back from the Ellipse, Trump became irate and demanded to be driven to the Capitol, but members of his security team refused.

Trump went into the private dining room near the Oval Office, where he stayed until 4 p.m., and witnesses told the committee that Trump spent the afternoon watching Fox News' coverage of his supporters attacking the Capitol.

## Trump's Response to the Violence

Trump resisted sending the National Guard to quell the mob. The House select committee said that it was "clear" that Trump had "never telephoned his Secretary of Defense that day to order deployment of National Guard, and never contacted any federal law enforcement agency to order security assistance to the Capitol Police".

Cassidy Hutchinson overheard Trump repeatedly use the word "hang" in a conversation with Mark Meadows prior to his tweet about Pence, and Trump later tweeted "Mike Pence didn't have the courage to do what should have been done to protect our Country and our Constitution".

Once the attack was underway, Trump initially ignored counsel from his own family, members of his administration, Republican elected officials, and friendly Fox News personalities, including Ivanka Trump and Donald Trump Jr. who wanted him to tell rioters to go home sooner, and the President delayed.

That afternoon, in a Twitter video, he restated false claims about the election and told his supporters to "go home in peace". Trump later issued a final tweet saying this happens "when a sacred landslide election victory is so unceremoniously & viciously stripped away from great patriots" and urged supporters to "Go home with love & in peace".


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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump COVID-19 early response decision timeline January February 2020 downplaying"

Links: [{"title":"The Trump Administration and the COVID‐19 crisis: Exploring the warning‐response problems and missed opportunities of a public health emergency - PMC","url":"https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9115435/"},{"title":"Timeline of Trump's COVID-19 Comments - FactCheck.org","url":"https://www.factcheck.org/2020/10/timeline-of-trumps-covid-19-comments/"},{"title":"Communication of the Trump administration during the COVID-19 pandemic - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Communication_of_the_Trump_administration_during_the_COVID-19_pandemic"},{"title":"U.S. federal government response to the COVID-19 pandemic - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_and_the_Covid-19_pandemic"},{"title":"Timeline: How Trump Has Downplayed The Coronavirus Pandemic","url":"https://www.npr.org/sections/latest-updates-trump-covid-19-results/2020/10/02/919432383/how-trump-has-downplayed-the-coronavirus-pandemic"},{"title":"Timeline of the Coronavirus Pandemic and U.S. Response","url":"https://www.justsecurity.org/69650/timeline-of-the-coronavirus-pandemic-and-u-s-response/"},{"title":"President Trump’s Historic Coronavirus Response – The White House","url":"https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings-statements/president-trumps-historic-coronavirus-response/"},{"title":"Coronavirus timeline shows politicians', media's changing rhetoric on risk of pandemic | Fox News","url":"https://www.foxnews.com/politics/from-new-york-to-canada-to-the-white-house-initial-coronavirus-responses-havent-aged-well"},{"title":"The Trump Administration’s Response to Coronavirus - American Oversight","url":"https://americanoversight.org/investigation/the-trump-administrations-response-to-coronavirus/"},{"title":"Trump Received Intelligence Briefings On Coronavirus Twice In January : Coronavirus Updates : NPR","url":"https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/05/02/849619486/trump-received-intelligence-briefings-on-coronavirus-twice-in-january"}]

Based on the search results, here's a timeline of Trump's COVID-19 response and downplaying in January-February 2020:

## January 2020

Trump administration officials were briefed about the coronavirus outbreak in China on January 3, 2020, with health officials first substantially briefing the president on January 18. In January and February 2020, U.S. intelligence agencies delivered over a dozen classified warnings in the President's Daily Brief about COVID-19, including its potential to inflict severe political and economic damage.

Despite these briefings, on January 22, Trump told a CNBC reporter: "We have it totally under control. It's one person coming in from China. We have it under control. It's going to be just fine."

Trump did place restrictions on travel from China on January 31, and on January 29, President Trump established the White House Coronavirus Task Force.

## February 2020

By February 2020, Trump had a much firmer grasp of the danger posed by the virus than his public statements indicated, though in an interview with Bob Woodward, he also said, "I think that that goes away in two months with the heat".

Trump expressed confidence that his travel measures were sufficient, resisted more comprehensive measures, and told reporters in February: "We have it very much under control in this country … Very interestingly, we've had no deaths".

On February 19, Trump assured the public: "I think it's going to work out fine. I think when we get into April, in the warmer weather, that has a very negative effect on that and that type of a virus."

Even after the January 28 President's Daily Brief on the magnitude of the threat and additional urgent warnings throughout February, the president initially was unwilling to take comprehensive policy measures beyond travel restrictions to fight the pandemic.


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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump 2025 tariffs policy April "Liberation Day" decision making economic impact"

Links: [{"title":"Liberation Day tariffs - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberation_Day_tariffs"},{"title":"How Trump's \"Liberation Day\" tariffs affected the economy 1 year later","url":"https://www.marketplace.org/story/2026/04/02/how-liberation-day-tariffs-have-affected-the-economy-in-a-year"},{"title":"Have Trump's tariffs worked? This is where things stand a year after 'Liberation Day'","url":"https://www.npr.org/2026/04/02/nx-s1-5766424/trump-tariffs-inflation-economy"},{"title":"A Year After ‘Liberation Day,’ Experts Review the Costs of Trump’s Tariffs | Council on Foreign Relations","url":"https://www.cfr.org/articles/a-year-after-liberation-day-experts-review-the-costs-of-trumps-tariffs"},{"title":"Liberation Day Tariffs: President Trump Tariffs & Trade Policy","url":"https://taxfoundation.org/blog/liberation-day-trump-tariffs/"},{"title":"Trump's \"Liberation Day\" tariffs: The impact is still being felt","url":"https://www.axios.com/2026/04/02/trump-trade-tariffs-liberation-day"},{"title":"“Liberation Day” Tariffs Explained | CSIS","url":"https://www.csis.org/analysis/liberation-day-tariffs-explained"},{"title":"Trump Tariffs Economic Impact Shakes US Economy","url":"https://www.parriva.com/trump-tariffs-economic-impact/"},{"title":"Making America great again? The economic impacts of Liberation Day tariffs - ScienceDirect","url":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199625000959"},{"title":"FLASHBACK: Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs hit one-year mark as economists split on fallout","url":"https://www.foxnews.com/politics/flashback-trumps-liberation-day-tariffs-hit-one-year-mark-economists-split-fallout"}]

Based on the web search results, here's comprehensive information about Trump's 2025 tariffs policy and the "Liberation Day" announcement:

## The April 2, 2025 "Liberation Day" Announcement

On April 2, 2025, Trump declared the day to be Liberation Day, describing it as "one of the most important days in American history" and "our declaration of economic independence". Trump signed Executive Order 14257, Regulating Imports With a Reciprocal Tariff to Rectify Trade Practices That Contribute to Large and Persistent Annual United States Goods Trade Deficits.

## Decision-Making Process

Senior Counselor Peter Navarro urged Trump to adopt either a 25% global import tariff or a "reciprocal" tariff formula based on trade deficits, while Bessent and Hassett supported more nuanced and targeted tariffs. Bessent encouraged using tariffs primarily as a negotiating tool, while Navarro saw them as a means to transform trade relationships. Trump ultimately adopted Navarro's idea of "reciprocal" tariffs.

## Policy Implementation

Executive Order 14257 raised tariffs on nearly all countries to 10% beginning April 5, with higher rates for major trading partners scheduled to begin April 9. Trump raised tariffs on nearly every U.S. trading partner to historic highs not seen since 1909, bringing the average effective tariff rate to 22.5 percent. Just seven days later, he reversed course, pausing the bulk of those tariffs for ninety days, leaving a 10 percent across-the-board tax on imports—while raising tariffs on China to a whopping 125 percent.

## Economic Impact

The tariffs have had significant negative consequences:

- **Consumer Costs**: According to a recent study by New York Federal Reserve Bank economists, Americans bore 94 percent of the tariff cost in August 2025, while foreign exporters only bore 6 percent of the tariff incidence.

- **Food Prices**: Following the April 2025 announcement, proposed tariffs drove food prices up 1.6 percent—equivalent to an entire year of prior grocery inflation—while all 2025 tariff actions combined pushed food prices up 2.8 percent and fresh produce up 4 percent.

- **Manufacturing and Jobs**: U.S. factories employed 89,000 fewer people in February than they did in April, when the worldwide tariffs took effect.

- **Trade Deficit**: Over the course of 2025, Americans actually imported slightly more goods than they did the previous year. Imports of goods last year totaled $3.4 trillion, up 4% from 2024, but exports totaled $2.2 trillion, a 6% increase, leading to an increase in the total goods trade deficit, which rose about 2% to $1.24 trillion.

- **Overall Assessment**: The tariffs were not reciprocal, did not produce a surge in investment or manufacturing employment, generated less revenue than projected, did not pay down the national debt, and contributed to higher prices and weaker economic activity.

## Supreme Court Ruling

Before they were overturned by the Supreme Court, the Trump administration's tariffs announced on April 2, 2025, cost U.S. consumers and small businesses a lot of money.


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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump Ukraine ceasefire negotiation 2025 decision strategy Zelensky"

Links: [{"title":"Trump says Russia and Ukraine are 'maybe very close' to peace deal after Zelenskyy meeting - ABC News","url":"https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/volodymyr-zelenskyy-arrives-mar-lago-peace-talks-president/story?id=128736611"},{"title":"The U.S. offers Ukraine a 15-year security guarantee for now, Zelenskyy says","url":"https://www.npr.org/2025/12/29/g-s1-103906/ukraine-russia-trump-zelenskyy-security"},{"title":"Trump says Ukraine and Russia 'closer than ever' to peace after talks with Zelenskyy","url":"https://www.npr.org/2025/12/28/nx-s1-5659700/zelenskyy-meets-trump-efforts-end-russia-ukraine-war-elusive"},{"title":"Trump and Zelenskyy project optimism about prospects for a Ukraine-Russia peace deal despite 'thorny issues'","url":"https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-meet-zelenskyy-mar-lago-peace-talks-ukraine-russia-rcna251009"},{"title":"Trump pressures Ukraine to accept peace deal: Early analysis from Chatham House experts | Chatham House – International Affairs Think Tank","url":"https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/11/trump-pressures-ukraine-accept-peace-deal-early-analysis-chatham-house-experts"},{"title":"Trump meets with Zelenskyy in push for Ukraine peace plan","url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/28/trump-zelenskyy-ukraine.html"},{"title":"Trump and Zelensky to meet Sunday, try to close out peace plan","url":"https://www.axios.com/2025/12/26/zelensky-trump-meet-ukraine-peace-plan"},{"title":"Trump says Russia, Ukraine peace \"closer than ever\" after Zelensky meeting","url":"https://www.axios.com/2025/12/28/trump-putin-zelensky-ukraine-russia-peace"},{"title":"Trump, Zelenskyy hail progress towards Russia-Ukraine peace deal | Russia-Ukraine war News | Al Jazeera","url":"https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/28/trump-welcomes-zelenskyy-claims-russia-ukraine-truce-in-final-stages"},{"title":"Trump administration's 28-point Ukraine-Russia peace plan presented to Zelenskyy - ABC News","url":"https://abcnews.go.com/International/trump-administrations-28-point-ukraine-russia-peace-plan/story?id=127735249"}]

Here are the search results for "Trump Ukraine ceasefire negotiation 2025 decision strategy Zelensky":

## Key Points on Trump-Ukraine Peace Negotiations (December 2025)

### Recent High-Level Talks
Trump said that teams are "getting a lot closer, maybe very close" to achieving a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia after speaking to Russian President Vladimir Putin and having a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Florida on Sunday. The president said they covered "95%" of the issues needed to end the war.

### Progress on Peace Plan
Zelenskyy noted that they have a "20-point peace plan, 90% agreed, and U.S.-Ukraine security guarantees, 100% agreed. The U.S.-Europe-Ukraine security guarantees almost agreed. Military dimension, 100% agreed. Prosperity plan being finalized" and "they agree that security guarantees is the key milestone in achieving lasting peace."

### Ceasefire Strategy
A major point of contention involves the ceasefire approach. Putin's foreign affairs adviser said Trump is pushing Ukraine to seek a comprehensive peace agreement and not demand a temporary respite for its military through a ceasefire. Putin has insisted on a full settlement before any truce. Russia had not agreed to a ceasefire, with Trump confirming it was "one of the points we're working on right now," and that Putin felt "strongly" about it.

### Outstanding Issues
When asked what continues to be the thorniest issue in attempting to reach a peace settlement, Trump said that it is territory. Negotiators are still searching for a breakthrough on key issues, including whose forces withdraw from where in Ukraine and the fate of Ukraine's Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant.

### Security Guarantees
The U.S. agreed to offer certain security guarantees to Ukraine similar to those offered to other members of NATO. The proposal came as Zelenskyy said he was prepared to drop his country's bid to join the security alliance if Ukraine received NATO-like protection.

### Next Steps
Zelenskyy and Trump both said negotiations would continue in the coming weeks. Trump said if things go "really well," a peace settlement could be reached in "a few weeks," but it's also possible that a breakthrough never comes.


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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump reframes failure as winning "I win" psychology how Trump defines victory losses"

Links: [{"title":"Why Donald Trump Can't Stop: The Psychology Behind the Brand","url":"https://9takes.com/personality-analysis/Donald-Trump"},{"title":"Donald Trump is fighting an unwinnable war to prove he's not a loser. And he's losing.","url":"https://www.thefarce.org/the-man-who-cannot-lose-is-losing-he-still-cant-stop/"},{"title":"Trump is a Weak President","url":"https://www.theframelab.org/strongman-weak-president/"},{"title":"Trump's Appeal: What Psychology Tells Us | Scientific American","url":"https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/trump-rsquo-s-appeal-what-psychology-tells-us/"},{"title":"Amazon.com: Tired of Winning: Donald Trump and the End of the Grand Old Party: 9780593473986: Karl, Jonathan: Books","url":"https://www.amazon.com/Tired-Winning-Donald-Trump-Grand/dp/0593473981"},{"title":"Donald Trump on Failure | Psychology Today","url":"https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/brainstorm/200905/donald-trump-failure"},{"title":"‘The Strange Case of Donald J. Trump: A Psychological Reckoning’ - Northwestern Now","url":"https://news.northwestern.edu/stories/2020/03/the-strange-case-of-donald-j-trump-a-psychological-reckoning"},{"title":"Trump’s Denial of Defeat","url":"https://time.com/7377361/trump-denial-of-defeat-harvard/"},{"title":"The Trump surprise, again: psychology’s fantasy of prediction | BPS","url":"https://www.bps.org.uk/psychologist/trump-surprise-again-psychologys-fantasy-prediction"},{"title":"The Mass Psychology of Trumpism - New Lines Magazine","url":"https://newlinesmag.com/argument/the-mass-psychology-of-trumpism/"}]

Based on the search results, here's what the research and analysis reveal about how Trump reframes failure as winning:

## Core Philosophy on Failure

Trump has stated: "I never had a failure, because I always turned a failure into a success." This worldview was installed by his father, who taught him that "kings have to work harder than anyone else to prove themselves worthy."

## The Psychological Framework

The reframing strategy is rooted in Trump's deeper psychology. Trump sees life as a series of battles to be won, and "Truth for Donald Trump is whatever works to win in the moment." He moves through life episode by episode, from one battle to the next, striving to win each one, and the episodes don't add up or form a narrative arc.

## Denial as a Defense Mechanism

Facts fall by the wayside in Trump's compulsion to reframe every rejection as his choice. In Trump's universe, he is never rejected—he is always the rejecter, never the rejected. Every failure gets reframed as a victory, and every bomb that falls wrong gets explained as the other side's fault, or a framing problem, or evidence that the mission requires more, not less.

## The Psychological Cost

In the strict father world Trump has built his entire identity inside, there is only one thing worse than being weak: being seen as a loser. This psychological constraint prevents genuine adaptation and self-reflection.


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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump negotiation tactics when does he cave vs hold firm analysis pattern"

Links: [{"title":"Smolinski | Expert Perspectives on Trump’s Tariff Negotiations | Negotiation and Conflict Management Research","url":"https://ncmr.lps.library.cmu.edu/article/id/1001/"},{"title":"Trump’s unconventional negotiation strategy - Dr. Sebastian Moritz","url":"https://www.imd.org/ibyimd/strategy/shaping-the-game-understanding-trumps-unconventional-negotiation-strategy/"},{"title":"Mastering Negotiation the Trump Way:Strength,Tactics,Uncertainty | The CEO Project","url":"https://theceoproject.com/mastering-negotiation-the-trump-waystrengthtacticsuncertainty/"},{"title":"It’s Time to Abandon Trump’s Flawed Negotiation Playbook by Michele Gelfand - Project Syndicate","url":"https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-trump-tariffs-and-negotiating-style-are-backfiring-spectacularly-by-michelle-gelfand-2025-04"},{"title":"Trump’s Negotiating Style as President-Elect - PON - Program on Negotiation at Harvard Law School","url":"https://www.pon.harvard.edu/daily/dealmaking-daily/dealmaking-presidents-opening-moves-nb/"},{"title":"Transactional Man: Teaching Negotiation Strategy in the Age of Trump | Negotiation Journal | MIT Press","url":"https://direct.mit.edu/ngtn/article/35/1/31/121416/Transactional-Man-Teaching-Negotiation-Strategy-in"},{"title":"Negotiating Like Trump: Power, Pressure, and Unpredictability","url":"https://www.inc.com/jim-schleckser/negotiating-like-trump-power-pressure-and-unpredictability/91155929"},{"title":"Trump's Negotiation Strategy | Supply Chain Resource Cooperative","url":"https://scm.ncsu.edu/scm-articles/article/trumps-negotiation-strategy"},{"title":"A Broken Record: Trump's negotiation strategies have had limited success in the past, but now they are perceived by counterparties as a familiar script with well-known vulnerabilities","url":"https://re-russia.net/en/analytics/0263/"},{"title":"Trump’s Presidential Negotiation Moves: An Expert’s Assessment • Expert Negotiator","url":"https://www.expertnegotiator.com/tip/trumps-presidential-negotiation-moves-an-experts-assessment/"}]

Based on the search results, here's a comprehensive analysis of Trump's negotiation tactics and patterns regarding when he caves versus holds firm:

## Core Negotiation Style

Trump focuses on leverage as his primary strategy, looking for pivotal assets to control and then milking his position for everything it is worth. His approach prioritizes immediacy with headline-friendly concessions, visible parity claims, demonstration effects, and uses a distributive frame that emphasizes BATNA (best alternative to negotiated agreement) and issue linkage to expand perceived leverage.

## When He Holds Firm

Trump demonstrates staying power in several patterns:

1. **Using High-Stakes Pressure**: Trump uses extreme stances backed by credible threats, forcing the other party to respond quickly and make concessions because they believe he'll follow through.

2. **Early Concessions from Opponents**: Trump's negotiating style includes settling for small initial concessions, as long as they are accompanied by "sufficient displays of deference that feed his ego".

3. **Tactical Wins Against Weaker Counterparts**: With ASEAN nations, Vietnam pre-emptively cut tariffs, followed by Cambodia, Indonesia, and Thailand, with even Malaysia negotiating a carve-out—Trump induced a race to the bottom by dealing individually, imposing tight deadlines, and establishing high tariffs as the new status quo.

## When He Caves

Trump's pattern of backing down emerges in several contexts:

1. **Loss of Credibility Over Time**: Over time, some countries like China stopped taking his threats seriously, making it harder for him to use this tactic effectively.

2. **Inconsistent Messaging**: Trump escalated rhetoric by tweeting that Xi was the "enemy," then called him a "great leader" multiple times, sending inconsistent messages and losing credibility with each statement, making it unclear which statements to believe.

3. **Actual Deal Outcomes Are Modest**: While tangible outcomes tend to be modest at best, his 'deals' appear revolutionary at the start (anchoring phase) surrounded by scandal and confrontation, but result in only minor progress or mere political theatrics with little substance.

## The Underlying Pattern

The process trade-off is sharp: sparingly applied, unpredictability can catalyze movement; routinely applied, it depresses the very cooperation that sustains durable compliance. A critical flaw is that Trump's repertoire of tactics remains unchanged and is now well known to his counterparts, who have learned to exploit its weaknesses.


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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump Tower construction 1983 decision financing negotiation how it was built"

Links: [{"title":"Trump Tower - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump_Tower"},{"title":"Trump Tower: The Imperial Architectural Symbol Designed by Der Scutt","url":"https://parametric-architecture.com/trump-towerdesigned-by-der-scutt/"},{"title":"Celebrating 40 Years of Trump Tower, A New York City Icon | The Trump Organization | Luxury Real Estate Portfolio","url":"https://www.trump.com/media/celebrating-40-years-of-trump-tower-a-new-york-city-icon"},{"title":"The Trump Organization - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Trump_Organization"},{"title":"What Domus said about Trump Tower in 1983, when it was still under construction - Domus","url":"https://www.domusweb.it/en/from-the-archive/2024/11/06/trump-tower-project-1983.html"},{"title":"Trump Towers","url":"https://old.skyscraper.org/EXHIBITIONS/SKY_HIGH/nw_10.php"},{"title":"How Donald Trump built his business empire | The Week","url":"https://theweek.com/articles/644820/how-donald-trump-built-business-empire"},{"title":"Trump Tower: History, Architecture, and Facts","url":"https://buildingsdb.com/NY/new-york/trump-tower/"},{"title":"Trump Tower | Skyscraper Wiki | Fandom","url":"https://skyscrapers.fandom.com/wiki/Trump_Tower"},{"title":"Trump Tower, New York","url":"https://aviewoncities.com/new-york/trump-tower"}]

Based on the search results, here's information about Trump Tower's construction, 1983 decision, financing, and negotiations:

## Construction Timeline and Decision

Construction on the building began in 1979. Trump and Scutt secretly began the project in the late 1970s, envisioning a luxury skyscraper on the site of the Bonwit Teller department store. Trump Tower was topped out by July 1982, two-and-a-half years after the start of construction.

## The 1983 Deadline and Tax Incentives

To qualify for a big tax break from the city, Trump needed to complete construction by the end of 1983. This deadline was critical, as the construction team used reinforced concrete instead of steel to complete the tower on time.

## Financing and Negotiations

Trump did not own the property yet, lacked air rights from Tiffany's next door, and hadn't secured financing. Initially, the city rejected his tax break requests, adding another hurdle to Trump's plans, but he persisted, negotiating deals, making headlines, and convincing stakeholders.

He engaged in intricate negotiations for the air rights above the neighboring Tiffany's flagship store–a move that secured a lifetime of unobstructed views of Fifth Avenue and Central Park as no builder could exceed the store's current height.

Trump constructed Trump Tower in partnership with The Equitable, and he used the profits from the Grand Hyatt deal to finance Trump Tower on Fifth Avenue.

## Opening and Sales Success

The atrium, apartments, offices, and stores opened on a staggered schedule from February to November 1983. By August 1983, the construction loan for Trump Tower's construction had been paid off using the $260 million revenue from the sale of 85% of the 263 condominium units.


REMINDER: You MUST include the sources above in your response to the user using markdown hyperlinks.

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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump tariffs 2025 performative vs real economic leverage China 90 day pause reversal"

Links: [{"title":"Tracking the Economic Impact of the Trump Tariffs","url":"https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/trump-tariffs-trade-war/"},{"title":"Trump says he will pause tariff hikes for 90 days, but not for China","url":"https://www.npr.org/2025/04/09/nx-s1-5357645/trump-tariffs-paused"},{"title":"Trump announces 90-day pause on ‘reciprocal’ tariffs with exception of China | CNN Business","url":"https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/09/business/reciprocal-tariff-pause-trump/index.html"},{"title":"Trump, tariffs, and ‘TACO’: Why markets stopped reacting","url":"https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/white-house/4502303/trump-tariffs-taco-markets-reaction/"},{"title":"Tariffs in the second Trump administration - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tariffs_in_the_second_Trump_administration"},{"title":"Presidential 2025 Tariff Actions: Timeline and Status | Congress.gov | Library of Congress","url":"https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48549"},{"title":"Trump pauses reciprocal tariffs for 90 days for everyone but China","url":"https://www.axios.com/2025/04/09/trump-tariffs-pause-china-stocks-recession"},{"title":"Stocks surge after 90-day pause announced for most countries","url":"https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/live-blog/trump-administration-live-updates-global-tariffs-china-rcna200346"},{"title":"Trump extends China tariff deadline for the second time. What does it mean? | Donald Trump News | Al Jazeera","url":"https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2025/8/12/trump-extends-china-tariff-deadline-for-the-second-time-what-does-it-mean"},{"title":"Tracking tariffs: Key moments in the US-China trade dispute | World Economic Forum","url":"https://www.weforum.org/stories/2025/06/trumps-us-china-trade-tariffs-timeline/"}]

Based on my search results, here's what I found regarding Trump's 2025 tariffs, the 90-day pause, and their economic impact:

## The 90-Day Pause and Pattern of Escalation/Retreat

The 10 percent universal tariff took effect April 5, 2025, and on April 9, 2025, President Trump announced a 90-day pause on the reciprocal tariffs for all other countries excluding China. Within days, however, key portions of the tariffs were paused for 90 days to allow negotiations, helping stabilize markets and reinforcing a now-familiar cycle of escalation followed by retreat.

## China Exception: Performative or Real?

While most countries received the pause, China — which had retaliated against Trump's moves — will now face tariffs of 125%. On August 11, President Trump announced that the increase in the reciprocal tariff to 125 percent would be paused for another 90 days. The pattern continued with the United States and China announcing a 90-day reduction in bilateral tariffs in May 2025, and the two parties extending the tariff reduction for another 90 days in August, and in November 2025, reaching an agreement to extend the tariff reduction for one year, through November 10, 2026.

## Economic Impact Assessment

The Trump tariffs are the largest US tax increase as a percent of GDP since 1993 and amount to an average tax increase per US household of $1,500 in 2026. However, the 90-day pause may have been welcome news to investors, but it's unlikely to stave off a recession, with economists noting that the US economy is still likely to fall into recession and that all this does is postpone temporarily what will likely be a series of punitive import taxes.

## Market Reaction and Messaging

Markets barely flinched, treating announcements as provisional rather than immediate. When asked why White House aides insisted the tariffs weren't about negotiations prior to the pause, Trump told reporters Wednesday afternoon, "A lot of time it's not a negotiation until it is."


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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump immigration policy 2025 executive orders deportation decisions second term"

Links: [{"title":"Immigration policy of the second Trump administration - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immigration_policy_of_the_second_Trump_administration"},{"title":"Unleashing Power in New Ways: Immigration in the First Year of Trump 2.0","url":"https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/trump-2-immigration-1st-year"},{"title":"Congress","url":"https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/LSB/HTML/LSB11300.web.html"},{"title":"The Trump Administration's 2025 Changes to Immigration Law (Updated 10/10/25) | New York City Bar Association","url":"https://www.nycbar.org/reports/the-trump-administrations-early-2025-changes-to-immigration-law/"},{"title":"Trump 2.0’s year one: reshaping US legal immigration","url":"https://www.realinstitutoelcano.org/en/analyses/trump-2-0s-year-one-reshaping-us-legal-immigration/"},{"title":"Recent White House Actions on Immigration | Congress.gov | Library of Congress","url":"https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/LSB11265"},{"title":"Donald Trump's executive orders on immigration, 2025-2026 - Ballotpedia","url":"https://ballotpedia.org/Donald_Trump's_executive_orders_on_immigration,_2025"},{"title":"Trump Immigration Policy Changes","url":"https://usahello.org/2025-immigration-policies/"},{"title":"Executive and Regulatory Actions Under the Second Trump Administration | NAFSA","url":"https://www.nafsa.org/executive-and-regulatory-actions-trump2admin"},{"title":"Leading with Cruelty: Eight Impacts of Trump’s First Day Executive Orders - National Immigrant Justice Center","url":"https://immigrantjustice.org/blog/leading-with-cruelty-eight-impacts-of-trumps-first-day-executive-orders/"}]

Based on the search results, here's a comprehensive overview of Trump's immigration policy and executive orders during his second term:

## Initial Executive Orders (January 20, 2025)

On his first day in office, Trump signed several executive orders including declaring a national emergency at the Mexico–United States border, blocking asylum seekers from entering the U.S., ending "catch and release" for illegal immigrants, ending birthright citizenship for new children born to non-permanent resident parents, suspending almost all refugee admissions, and designating certain international cartels as terrorists.

## Key Deportation Policies

On January 23, 2025, ICE began carrying out raids on sanctuary cities, with hundreds of immigrants detained and deported. The Trump administration reversed the previous administration's policy and gave ICE permission to raid schools, hospitals and places of worship.

Trump signed the Laken Riley Act on January 29, 2025, which mandates the detention of immigrants who are charged with or convicted of certain crimes.

## Expedited Removal Expansion

Under Trump's new order, any noncitizen found anywhere in the United States who cannot prove to the satisfaction of a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agent that they have been in the country for more than two years can be deported immediately unless they show that they have a credible fear of persecution.

## Detention and Humanitarian Changes

In February 2026, the administration issued a directive expanding immigration enforcement authority to allow the detention of refugees who had been lawfully admitted to the United States but had not yet obtained permanent residency, as part of a mandatory re-vetting process.

The administration expanded the number of noncitizens who can be subject to deportation by terminating "twilight" legal statuses such as humanitarian parole and TPS, which confer protection from deportation and provide access to work authorization.

## Refugee and Asylum Restrictions

Following the 2025 Washington, D.C., National Guard shooting, USCIS put a "hold on all pending asylum applications," and the administration was reported to have moved to end thousands of asylum cases, arguing for asylum seekers to be deported to third countries.

## International Detention Agreements

The Trump administration affirmed a deal with Nayib Bukele's government to permit deportees to be held in El Salvador's Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT), notorious for harsh conditions, at a cost of $6 million per year.


REMINDER: You MUST include the sources above in your response to the user using markdown hyperlinks.

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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump "Art of the Deal" actual decisions vs book strategy contradictions examples"

Links: [{"title":"Why has Trump's 'Art of the Deal' failed in the case of Iran?","url":"https://news.futunn.com/en/post/71080059/why-has-trump-s-art-of-the-deal-failed-in"},{"title":"Trump’s ‘Art of the Deal’ Is Losing Friends and Alienating Allies | Opinion - Newsweek","url":"https://www.newsweek.com/trumps-art-of-the-deal-is-losing-friends-and-alienating-allies-opinion-11770811"},{"title":"[PDF] The Art of the Deal Summary - Donald J. Trump","url":"https://www.shortform.com/pdf/the-art-of-the-deal-pdf-donald-trump"},{"title":"Trump Warns In 'Art Of The Deal': 'Deliver The Goods' Or Lose In A 'Landslide' : NPR","url":"https://www.npr.org/2017/03/24/521435773/trump-warns-in-art-of-the-deal-deliver-the-goods-or-lose-in-a-landslide"},{"title":"The dangerous side to the art of the deal | Brookings","url":"https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-dangerous-side-to-the-art-of-the-deal/"},{"title":"Trump's 'Art of the Deal' Politics Undermine America's Future","url":"https://aier.org/article/trumps-art-of-the-deal-politics-undermine-americas-future/"},{"title":"Opinion: 'The Artifice of the Deal'","url":"https://ctmirror.org/2025/05/23/the-artifice-of-the-deal/"},{"title":"Trump’s 'Art of the Deal' Politics Undermine America’s Future | The Daily Economy","url":"https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/trumps-art-of-the-deal-politics-undermines-americas-future/"},{"title":"The Art of the Deal - Wikipedia","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Art_of_the_Deal"},{"title":"Trump's Art of the Deal Is Lost in the Fog of War - The Wire","url":"https://m.thewire.in/article/world/trumps-art-of-the-deal-is-lost-in-the-fog-of-war"}]

Based on the search results, here are several documented contradictions between Trump's "Art of the Deal" book strategies and his actual decisions:

## Book Credibility Issues

Stories and details in "The Art of the Deal" have been questioned or contradicted since its publication, with the book's ghostwriter Tony Schwartz suggesting the book be "recategorized as fiction." For example, regarding the Swifton Village deal, Trump claimed credit in the book, but his father Fred actually won the property at auction and oversaw its turnaround while Trump was at military academy and college.

## Iran Negotiations Strategy Failure

Trump's decision to launch attacks during negotiations completely eroded Iran's trust, rendering 'The Art of the Deal' ineffective, as his maximum pressure strategy encountered systemic failure. Trump made contradictory statements, claiming Iran was "decimated" while simultaneously threatening more attacks, and suggesting the Strait of Hormuz would "naturally" reopen while hinting it might be "someone else's problem."

## Healthcare Negotiation Failure

Though Trump co-wrote "The Art of the Deal" in 1987, he couldn't deliver on overhauling health care. His decision to move toward conservative House Freedom Caucus members made the bill unpalatable for moderate Republicans.

## Trade Deal Outcomes

The widely publicized "Phase One" trade deal with China fell short, as China failed to meet its purchase commitments and structural reforms on intellectual property theft never materialized.

## Business Strategy Contradictions in Government

While unpredictability might create bargaining power in business, in government it creates instability.


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[搜索结果]
Web search results for query: "Trump phase one trade deal China January 2020 what did he actually get concessions analysis"

Links: [{"title":"Phase One | United States Trade Representative","url":"https://ustr.gov/phase-one"},{"title":"The U.S.-China “Phase One” Deal: A Backgrounder","url":"https://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/2020-02/U.S.-China%20Trade%20Deal%20Issue%20Brief.pdf"},{"title":"Section 301 and China: The U.S.-China Phase One Trade Deal | Congress.gov | Library of Congress","url":"https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF12125"},{"title":"Trump's phase one trade deal with China and the US election | PIIE","url":"https://www.piie.com/blogs/trade-and-investment-policy-watch/trumps-phase-one-trade-deal-china-and-us-election"},{"title":"China bought none of the extra $200 billion of US exports in Trump's trade deal | PIIE","url":"https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2022/china-bought-none-extra-200-billion-us-exports-trumps-trade-deal"},{"title":"U.S.-China 'Phase One' Trade Deal","url":"https://scholarship.law.nd.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1162&context=ndjicl"},{"title":"Trump gets his trade deal, China gets the win | Brookings","url":"https://www.brookings.edu/articles/trump-gets-his-trade-deal-china-gets-the-win/"},{"title":"The U.S.-China “Phase One” Deal: A Backgrounder | U.S.- CHINA | ECONOMIC and SECURITY REVIEW COMMISSION","url":"https://www.uscc.gov/research/us-china-phase-one-deal-backgrounder"},{"title":"Read the full U.S.-China 'Phase 1' trade agreement | PBS News","url":"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/read-the-full-u-s-china-phase-1-trade-agreement"},{"title":"The US–China trade war and Phase One agreement - ScienceDirect","url":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0161893821000363"}]

Based on the search results, here's an analysis of what Trump actually obtained in the Phase One trade deal with China signed on January 15, 2020:

## What Trump Got

**Purchasing Commitments:**
China agreed to increase purchases of U.S. products by at least $200 billion over 2017 levels, split into two tranches: $76.7 billion in 2020 and $123.3 billion in 2021, specifically including $77.7 billion in manufactured goods, $52.4 billion in energy, $32 billion in agricultural goods, and $37.9 billion in services.

**Intellectual Property and Technology Protections:**
The Phase One economic and trade agreement includes a chapter on intellectual property (IP) that strengthens protection and enforcement of IP in China. The agreement prohibits the forcing or pressuring of foreign companies to transfer their technology as a condition for market access.

**Other Commitments:**
China agreed not to artificially devalue its currency, the renminbi, to boost its exports.

## Trump's Concessions

As a concession, the Trump Administration agreed to lower tariffs from 15 percent to 7.5 percent on an announced $120 billion worth of U.S. imports from China.

## Critical Analysis: Did It Work?

**The purchasing commitments largely failed.** China bought only 58 percent of the US exports it committed to purchase over 2020–21. China fell short of its commitment by 60% for goods (and about 57% for goods and services), due in part to PRC efforts to diversify agriculture and energy suppliers and the COVID-19 pandemic.

**Structural Issues Were Deferred:**
The United States deferred its more substantive demands to the next phase of trade talks, including China's corporate subsidies and the dominance of state-owned enterprises in its economy.

**Expert Assessment:**
"The Phase 1 deal contains meaningful commitments but by no means lives up to the initial objectives of the administration," according to a former U.S. trade negotiator. Notably, despite China's commitments in the technology transfer chapter, its vague provisions simply reflect what China has long claimed in the face of foreign criticism: that China does not force foreign firms to transfer technology as a condition of market access, despite rampant evidence to the contrary.


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现在我有足够的材料，开始写入文件。

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[搜索结果]
Permission to use Bash has been denied. IMPORTANT: You *may* attempt to accomplish this action using other tools that might naturally be used to accomplish this goal, e.g. using head instead of cat. But you *should not* attempt to work around this denial in malicious ways, e.g. do not use your ability to run tests to execute non-test actions. You should only try to work around this restriction in reasonable ways that do not attempt to bypass the intent behind this denial. If you believe this capability is essential to complete the user's request, STOP and explain to the user what you were trying to do and why you need this permission. Let the user decide how to proceed.

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[搜索结果]
Permission to use Write has been denied. IMPORTANT: You *may* attempt to accomplish this action using other tools that might naturally be used to accomplish this goal, e.g. using head instead of cat. But you *should not* attempt to work around this denial in malicious ways, e.g. do not use your ability to run tests to execute non-test actions. You should only try to work around this restriction in reasonable ways that do not attempt to bypass the intent behind this denial. If you believe this capability is essential to complete the user's request, STOP and explain to the user what you were trying to do and why you need this permission. Let the user decide how to proceed.

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需要你授权文件写入权限。我尝试将完整的调研文档写入：

`/Users/alchain/Documents/写作/.claude/skills/trump-perspective/references/research/05-decisions.md`

这个文件不存在，需要新建。请在弹出的权限请求中授权「Write」操作，我就可以完成写入。

或者你也可以直接在终端里运行：

```bash
touch /Users/alchain/Documents/写作/.claude/skills/trump-perspective/references/research/05-decisions.md
```

然后告诉我，我再写入内容。